The world is simply getting bigger—in a bad and costly way.
A new report shows obesity rates have doubled in the last three decades, and researchers are concerned about how much worse it will get. In America, it's worse than ever, with research suggesting by 2030, half of Americans will be obese—more than 164 million people. That's up from 99 million people today.
The findings were included in a special report of The Lancet.
“Our projections find that rising obesity is going to result in increases in many of these chronic diseases which are disabling and expensive to treat,” says study author Claire Wang. “We have to act fast.”
The rise in obesity could lead to 7.8 million more cases of diabetes, 6.8 million cases of heart disease and stroke, and more than half a million extra cancer cases in the United States—all of which would balloon health care costs by $66 billion a year, the report says.
And our friends across the pond are following our lead: The number of obese people in the United Kingdom will increase from 15 million to 26 million, Lancet reports. But being obese isn't just a Western problem—researchers say people almost everywhere are putting on weight.
In 1980, about 5 percent of men and 8 percent of women worldwide were obese. By 2008, the rates were nearly 10 percent for men and 14 percent for women, meaning 205 million men and 297 million women were obese. An additional 1.5 billion adults were overweight.
Still, Wang urges, the predictions don't have to come true. Even the slightest weight reductions can have a dramatic (and positive) effect.
For instance, the researchers calculate that just a 1 percent reduction in body mass index at the population level would prevent as many as 2.4 million cases of diabetes and 1.7 million cases of heart disease and stroke.
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