We've heard it all ad nauseum. How many have cited this quotation from the Department of Labor: A “1 percent difference in fees and expenses would reduce your account balance at retirement by 28 percent”? How many financial advisors misquote a controversial 20-year-old study and say “asset allocation accounts for 92 percent of a portfolio's investment return?” Barely a day goes by without some investment blogger or product salesman using one or both of these pitches.

Would you be surprised to discover these bromides are nothing more than urban legend? 

An August study from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania turns the 401(k) universe on its head by showing—while fees and asset allocation do have a nominal influence in achieving investors' retirement goals—often overlooked factors have greater primacy. Astute financial advisors have long known of these important ingredients: investing early, investing more and retiring later.

The Wharton paper concludes: 

“Starting to save at age 25, rather than age 45, cuts the required saving rate by about two-thirds,” and,

“Delaying retirement from age 62 to age 70 also reduces the required savings rate by about two-thirds.”

The study illustrates the dramatic impact of saving early and retiring later. It shows an employee needs to save only 7 percent of his income if he starts saving at age 25 and retires at age 70. On the other hand, an employee who begins saving at age 45 and retires at age 62 must save 65 percent of his salary—a pretty unrealistic goal. Delaying retirement helps a little. If this 45-year old saver retires at age 70, he would “only” have to save 18 percent of his salary—still a lot, but at least it's within the realm of reason.

This delayed retirement can significantly help those concerned about saving enough to retire. One of the paper's authors told me more than 70 percent of all households could maintain their pre-retirement standard of living if they waited until age 70 to retire.  

But the truly astounding revelation is the relative unimportance of asset allocation. The researchers compared the real-life impact between investing in the “typical” asset allocation and investing in the “optimal” asset allocation. What they found would startle even the most committed product salesman: Any advantage offered by the “optimal” asset allocation can easily be erased merely by working four months longer.

This, in the end, might have the greatest bearing for 401(k) investors. The importance of investment performance has long been touted and fees have been understood as being critical to investment performance. For a study to suggest that asset allocation—and its subsequent influence on investment performance—is only of secondary concern to retirement success suggests only one thing: 401(k) plan sponsors and investors should pay more attention to the levers they can control and less attention to their investments (within reason, of course).

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Christopher Carosa

Chris Carosa has been writing a weekly article and monthly column for BenefitsPRO online and BenefitsPRO Magazine since 2011 and is a nationally recognized award-winning writer, researcher and speaker. He’s written seven books, including From Cradle to Retire: The Child IRA; Hey! What’s My Number? – How to Increase the Odds You Will Retire in Comfort; A Pizza The Action: Everything I Ever Learned About Business I Learned By Working in a Pizza Stand at the Erie County Fair; and the widely acclaimed 401(k) Fiduciary Solutions. Carosa is also Chief Contributing Editor of the authoritative trade journal FiduciaryNews.com and publisher of the Mendon-Honeoye Falls-Lima Sentinel, a weekly community newspaper he founded in 1989. Currently serving as President of the National Society of Newspaper Columnists and with more than 1,000 articles published in various publications, he appears regularly in the national media. A “parallel” entrepreneur, he actively runs a handful of businesses, including a small boutique investment adviser, providing hands-on experience for his writing. A trained astrophysicist, he also holds an MBA and has been designated a Certified Trust and Financial Advisor. Share your thoughts and story ideas with him through Facebook (https://www.facebook.com/christophercarosa/)and Twitter (https://twitter.com/ChrisCarosa).