Medicaid expansion and the new public health insurance exchange subsidies could lead to a sharp increase in early retirement rates.

Jeff Bradley, a consulting actuary at Milliman, makes that prediction in a commentary based partly on data from a group of academic researchers led by Craig Garthwaite

Garthwaite's team looked at the effects of a sudden drop in access to public health coverage that affected 170,000 Tennessee residents in 2005.

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Allison Bell

Allison Bell, a senior reporter at ThinkAdvisor and BenefitsPRO, previously was an associate editor at National Underwriter Life & Health. She has a bachelor's degree in economics from Washington University in St. Louis and a master's degree in journalism from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. She can be reached through X at @Think_Allison.