One of the big debates over the Federal Reserve's extraordinary stimulus policies focuses on wages: Some would like to see them growing faster, while others worry that raises could trigger an inflationary spiral.
See also: 3% salary bump forecast for 2015
Whatever your perspective, the latest data from the Labor Department don't show much evidence of wage acceleration.
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Overall, the pace of wage growth in the private sector has been remarkably slow and steady: Hourly earnings rose at an annualized rate of 2 percent over the past three months, roughly the same as over the past year and since the beginning of the recovery in mid-2009. That's just enough to keep up with consumer price inflation, which has run at an average annual rate of 2 percent since mid-2009.
Workers in some industries have been doing better than others. Thanks to the shale boom, wages in mining and logging are up more than 5 percent from a year ago, though the growth appears to be slowing down in recent months. Finance and information have been doing well — further evidence of the advantages of working in so-called knowledge industries.
All told, though, wage gains have been meager, and still trail far behind the pace at which workers' output per hour has increased during the recovery. A bit more of a raise should be nothing to worry about.
To contact the writer of this article: Mark Whitehouse at [email protected].
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