Just as Republicans feared, it increasingly looks as if the Affordable Care Act is here to stay.
Even before Donald Trump became the GOP's lastest attempt to recapture the White House, Republican lawmakers were gradually moving toward a certain level of acceptance of Obamacare.
Despite voting to repeal the landmark health law, over and over again, many were clearly hesitant to undo parts of the law that so many of their constituents had come to enjoy, including the Medicaid expansion and the subsidized private plans offered through Healthcare.gov.
Recommended For You
Faced with the very likely prospect of another Democratic administration, however, Republicans are likely moving even closer to permanently shelving their plans to repeal the ACA. Instead, reports Modern Healthcare, some Republicans are pondering a "grand bargain" with a President Hillary Clinton about the future of the ACA. They believe they could shape the law to reflect a more market-based approach to health care.
Some of the compromises could be achieved simply through negotiations with a Clinton administration.
One area of focus for conservatives is federal waivers to states that allow them to impose slightly different rules for their Medicaid programs, including requirements that beneficiaries of certain income levels be charged premiums.
The Obama administration has already granted a number of such waivers to GOP-run states that would not have embraced the Medicaid expansion otherwise, but conservatives hope to make such waivers easier to obtain or more widespread.
More fundamental changes to the ACA would require legislation, which would likely be harder to do. Barring a historic landslide election, power in Congress will likely be split, with Republicans in control of the House and Democrats either in control of the Senate or (at the very least) with enough votes to block legislation through filibuster.
If Trump loses as badly as current polling suggests, Republicans may be humbled enough to negotiate, but Democrats will likely feel even more emboldened to push the landmark law to the left, as Clinton has suggested she would do throughout her primary campaign against Bernie Sanders.
"It might be easier (to cut a deal) if Clinton is president," John Goodman, a conservative health policy strategist, told Modern Healthcare. "The problem is the Democrats can't be seen to be repealing Obamacare, and the Republicans can't be seen making Obamacare work better."
Democrats might be in a mood to compromise, however, if it is needed to save the existing parts of Obamacare.
With the exchanges threatened by the potential departures of major insurers, which claim they cannot turn a profit, the way to save the system might require a big appropriation of federal funding to increase subsidies to the exchanges, both to help consumers afford their plans and to help offset the losses that insurers are experiencing.
© 2025 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.