The passage of the American Health Care Act could ultimately result in significant job loss and economic output, as the projected loss of health insurance for 23 million people by 2026 could recreate a ripple effect through the rest of the economy, according to a study by The Commonwealth Fund, "The American Health Care Act: Economic and Employment Consequences for States."
While the AHCA's tax repeal would initially bolster economic activity, leading to 864,000 more jobs in 2018, the multiplier effect of reduced federal spending on health care could cause negative economic effects, according to the study.
By 2026, 924,000 jobs could be lost — most in the health care sector, gross state products could be $93 billion lower, and business output could be $148 billion less. States which expanded Medicaid could experience faster and deeper economic losses.
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