117 multiemployer plans could fail within 20 years

Underfunded to the tune of $56.5 billion dollars.

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Multiemployer pension plans aren’t in a good place—if help doesn’t come soon, says a new study, 117 of them could fail within the next 20 years.

Actuarial consulting firm Cheiron Inc. finds that, according to the latest annual financial reports filed by multiemployer pension plans with regulators, up to 117 of those plans—serving some 1.4 million participants—are underfunded to the tune of $56.5 billion dollars, and have told regulators that they don’t have enough money to pay promised benefits.

Related: Union pension plans: Will Congress kick the can on a multiemployer plan solution?

Seven have already crashed within the last year, after becoming insolvent or terminated after all the employers pulled out.

But what could become even worse is the fact that as many as 12 more expect to go under in the next few years. According to the report, “[a] total of 44 plans have said they will fail by 2025, when the Central States, Southeast and Southwest Areas Pension Plan, the largest underfunded plan, expects to run out of money.”

And to compound the problem, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation expects its own insurance program to run out of funding in fiscal 2025.

Related: Clock ticking on PBGC multiemployer program

In November of 2018, Cheiron found 121 multiemployer pension plans underfunded by $48.9 billion, but that underfunding is now $7.7 billion—15.7 percent—higher. According to the 2019 study, plans have total assets of $41.8 billion and liabilities of $98.3 billion.

If it weren’t for the fact that seven plans actually ceased to exist after failing or shutting down, the number of struggling plans would have risen to 124 in 2019. In addition, a few plans did actually do better financially after the Treasury Department approved letting them cut benefits for retirees under the Multiemployer Pension Reform Act.

Three plans account for 62.4 percent of the unfunded liability, totaling $35.3 billion:

They cover 571,801 participants, or 41.8 percent of the 1.4 million participants in all financially troubled multiemployer pension plans. The PBGC covers a total of 1,400 multiemployer pension plans with 10.8 million participants.

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